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location. For example, the uncertainty in precipitation change over India arises partly from the expected weakening of the dynamical monsoon circulation versus the increase in atmospheric water content associated with warming (increasing the Indian monsoon precipitation; Meehl et al. 2007). Water is vital to plant growth, so varying precipitation patterns have a significant impact on New version weed leaf mandala full printing low top shoesagriculture. As over 80 per cent of total agriculture is rain-fed, projections of future precipitation changes often influence the magnitude and direction of climate impacts on crop production (Olesen & Bindi 2002; Tubiello et al. 2002; Reilly et al. 2003). The impact of global warming on regional precipitation is difficult to predict owing to strong dependencies on changes in atmospheric circulation, although there is increasing confidence in projections of a general increase in high-latitude precipitation, especially in winter, and an overall decrease in many parts of the tropics and sub-tropics . These uncertainties are reflected in two scenarios shown in figure 3 and table 1, which project different signs of precipitation change averaged over all croplands, even though there is agreement in the sign of change in some regions. One scenario which

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